Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026 | ISW
Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours.
understandingwar.orgappeared at the event with officials stressing economic stability for Russia Day, Zelensky's open letter urging an immediate ceasefire along the frontline and possible in-person talks; ISW notes on June 12 warns of potential Oreshnik IRBM use against Ukraine within 24-48 hours. Battlefield setbacks alongside Sumy City artillery strikes; domestic measures labeling opposition groups and tightening controls in the run-up to elections. Analysts' read also highlights military strains at the front while Russia aims to project strength.